Jong Essevee vs Merelbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
17º
6º
53
3º
17º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
75% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 88.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Essevee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ZUL
3 - 1
OOS
5%
12%
83%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
ZUL
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ZUL
1 - 1
KSC
7%
16%
78%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
STA
0 - 2
ZUL
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ZUL
1 - 4
WES
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Merelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
SPO
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OOS
2 - 1
MER
83%
12%
6%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
STA
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 0
MER
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MER
2 - 2
KSC
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |