Zulia U20 vs Aragua U20 analysis


45	ELO	40
4.2%	Tilt	-0.4%
28041º	General ELO ranking	28037º
90º	Country ELO ranking	86º
ELO win probability

58.7%

Zulia U20

21.5%

Draw

19.8%

Aragua U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

58.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%

21.5%

Draw

0-0

4.8%

1-1

10%

2-2

5.3%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

21.5%

19.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-28%

+20%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zulia U20

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
10 May. 2014	ARA 2 - 2 ZUL 42% 25% 33%	45	41	4	0
01 May. 2014	POR 0 - 2 ZUL 45% 25% 30%	45	44	1	0
26 Apr. 2014	ZUL 2 - 2 POR 54% 23% 23%	46	45	1	-1
29 Mar. 2014	YCY 1 - 2 ZUL 33% 25% 42%	46	38	8	0
22 Mar. 2014	DLA 2 - 1 ZUL 23% 24% 53%	47	30	17	-1

Matches

Aragua U20

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
10 May. 2014	ARA 2 - 2 ZUL 42% 25% 33%	41	45	4	0
01 May. 2014	ARA 2 - 2 DGU 47% 24% 29%	42	44	2	-1
26 Apr. 2014	DGU 1 - 3 ARA 62% 20% 18%	42	46	4	0
30 Mar. 2014	ARA 1 - 0 TUC 70% 17% 13%	43	33	10	-1
22 Mar. 2014	ARA 3 - 0 DGU 35% 25% 40%	41	48	7	+2