Zuidvogels vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zuidvogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
DVV
1 - 4
ZUI
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ZUI
5 - 2
AJA
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ROD
0 - 4
ZUI
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HBO
1 - 4
ZUI
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ZUI
1 - 4
VVA
56%
22%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 3
VVZ
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SWI
4 - 1
DVV
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
EEM
0 - 3
SWI
42%
24%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SWI
0 - 3
AJA
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HBO
1 - 2
SWI
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |