Zug 94 vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zug 94
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ESC
0 - 1
ZUG
18%
20%
62%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
EMM
0 - 3
ZUG
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ZUG
3 - 1
LSS
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ZUG
7 - 1
FCB
78%
14%
9%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
VED
2 - 2
ZUG
18%
20%
62%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
GOL
39%
24%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
4 - 2
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
IBA
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
HER
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ESC
1 - 3
HER
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |