Zrinski Osječko vs Bijelo Brdo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
2º
1º
28
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 81 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 80 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 43 |
4º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
76.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
47.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinski Osječko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 1
ZRI
20%
27%
53%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ZRI
3 - 0
ZMI
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 2
ZRI
24%
28%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ZRI
2 - 0
DUB
65%
22%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ZRI
0 - 2
DUB
69%
21%
10%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Bijelo Brdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BIJ
1 - 3
HNS
19%
26%
55%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
VUK
2 - 2
BIJ
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
BIJ
2 - 1
NKR
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NKJ
1 - 3
BIJ
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BIJ
2 - 0
NKR
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |