Zrinjski vs Sloboda Tuzla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
6º
1º
32
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ZRI
4 - 0
IGM
80%
15%
5%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 0
ZRI
19%
27%
55%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
POS
0 - 1
ZRI
29%
30%
41%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 1
ZRI
20%
28%
52%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ZRI
4 - 1
SAR
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sloboda Tuzla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 0
SLO
30%
31%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 1
VEL
23%
28%
48%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 1
ZEL
22%
27%
51%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 1
ZRI
20%
28%
52%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
4 - 2
SLO
46%
28%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |