UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 0-1
Zrinjski Mostar vs Sheriff analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
ZRI
2 - 0
IGM
86%
11%
4%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
ZRI
3 - 3
SHK
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NKV
0 - 3
ZRI
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
ZRI
2 - 1
NSM
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
RUD
0 - 2
ZRI
14%
25%
61%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 1
SHF
32%
24%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 2
SHF
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MIL
1 - 1
SHF
34%
26%
41%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
DIN
0 - 3
SHF
20%
24%
55%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
DIN
2 - 3
SHF
21%
23%
56%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |