De Zouaven vs Purmersteijn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Zouaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ROD
0 - 2
DEZ
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DEZ
3 - 1
DEK
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
KFC
0 - 3
DEZ
22%
23%
55%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
DEZ
1 - 0
DWV
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
JOS
1 - 0
DEZ
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Purmersteijn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PUR
3 - 0
FCB
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
AFC
4 - 1
PUR
61%
21%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
PUR
3 - 3
NVC
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
USV
2 - 1
PUR
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
PUR
0 - 2
DEM
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |