De Zouaven vs DWV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Zouaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
JOS
1 - 0
DEZ
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
DEZ
1 - 3
CHA
39%
26%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
KAM
0 - 2
DEZ
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
NVC
1 - 4
DEZ
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
DEZ
7 - 1
DWS
67%
20%
14%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
DWV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
DWV
1 - 0
FCB
36%
25%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
HOL
3 - 2
DWV
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
DWV
0 - 2
HIL
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
HBS
1 - 0
DWV
66%
20%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
DWV
2 - 2
VVS
20%
25%
56%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +1 |