Zorya Luhansk vs FC Kryvbas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
30.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
5º
9º
5º
6
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 55 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 55 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 49 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 47 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 47 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 44 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 44 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 43 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 40 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 38 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 37 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 34 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 32 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 24 |
16º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
8.5% | 7% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
15% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 59% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2025 |
ZOR
2 - 1
FKK
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
ZOR
0 - 0
LNZ
49%
27%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
ZOR
0 - 0
SAI
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
NKV
2 - 1
ZOR
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
ZOR
0 - 0
SAR
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kryvbas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
HKR
2 - 0
MET
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
KOL
2 - 1
HKR
36%
29%
35%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
DZG
5 - 1
HKR
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
HKR
1 - 2
GOZ
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
UJP
0 - 0
HKR
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |