Znicz Pruszkow vs Pogon Siedlce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
13º
18º
17º
12
5º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 72 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 55 |
2º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 54 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 53 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 51 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 51 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 50 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 49 |
9º
|
4% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 47 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 46 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 44 |
12º
|
4% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 42 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
5º
|
12 | 40 |
14º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 37 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 35 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
3 | 33 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 32 |
18º
|
34% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
11% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 17% |
|
Relegation
|
74% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Znicz Pruszkow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
ODR
0 - 2
ZNI
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2025 |
ZNI
0 - 7
WIS
20%
22%
59%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
PGM
4 - 1
ZNI
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
ZNI
1 - 4
POL
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
WIE
4 - 0
ZNI
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pogon Siedlce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
POG
0 - 0
PUS
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2025 |
GOR
1 - 1
POG
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
POG
2 - 0
TSP
28%
26%
45%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
RCH
0 - 2
POG
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
POG
0 - 1
ODR
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |