Znamya vs Fakel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
67.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Znamya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
TOR
3 - 0
ZNA
80%
14%
6%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
ZNA
0 - 2
LUK
27%
22%
52%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2017 |
ZNA
2 - 1
ZOR
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +4 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
ZNA
2 - 3
SPA
12%
20%
68%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
VEL
3 - 1
ZNA
85%
11%
4%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 1
FAK
43%
29%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
FAK
0 - 3
SPA
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
TAM
1 - 0
FAK
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
FAK
0 - 1
GAZ
22%
28%
50%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
SIB
4 - 0
FAK
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |