Zmaj Makarska vs Val Kaštel Stari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ZMA
2 - 0
MAK
54%
22%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
MAK
1 - 2
JAD
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ZAD
1 - 1
MAK
82%
13%
6%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MAK
2 - 0
GOS
63%
21%
17%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
OMI
1 - 1
MAK
46%
26%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Val Kaštel Stari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 1
OTO
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
HAJ
8 - 0
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ZMA
1 - 1
VAL
49%
23%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
VAL
4 - 1
JAD
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ZAD
2 - 0
VAL
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |