Zmaj Makarska vs Val Kaštel Stari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
PRB
1 - 0
MAK
41%
24%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MAK
3 - 0
ZMA
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NER
3 - 2
MAK
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MAK
2 - 1
HJK
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MAK
5 - 0
NER
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Val Kaštel Stari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
NKC
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
HRV
2 - 2
VAL
33%
25%
41%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
KAM
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GOS
1 - 0
VAL
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HVB
0 - 4
VAL
20%
23%
58%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |