Chance Liga Normal Season Round 21

FC Zlín vs Sparta Praha analysis

FC Zlín Sparta Praha
64 ELO 84
6.5% Tilt -3.2%
621º General ELO ranking 330º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
13%
FC Zlín
20.4%
Draw
66.6%
Sparta Praha

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
FC Zlín
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
66.6%
Win probability
Sparta Praha
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Zlín
+5%
+6%
Sparta Praha

Points and table prediction

FC Zlín
Their league position
Sparta Praha
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
10º
16º
16º
68
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sparta Praha
68
68
100%
Slavia Praha
66
66
100%
Viktoria Plzeň
57
57
100%
Bohemians 1905
48
48
100%
Slovácko
46
46
100%
Sigma Olomouc
41
41
100%
Slovan Liberec
38
38
0%
Hradec Králové
38
38
0%
Mladá Boleslav
37
37
100%
Baník Ostrava
10º
35
35
10º
100%
Jablonec
11º
35
35
11º
0%
České Budějovice
12º
35
35
12º
0%
Teplice
13º
32
32
13º
100%
Zbrojovka Brno
14º
31
31
14º
100%
Pardubice
15º
28
28
15º
100%
FC Zlín
16º
26
26
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Zlín
Sparta Praha
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Next round
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

FC Zlín
Sparta Praha
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Zlín
FC Zlín
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2023
PAR
Pardubice
2 - 1
FC Zlín
ZLI
42%
28%
31%
65 66 1 0
11 Feb. 2023
ZLI
FC Zlín
2 - 1
Teplice
TEP
43%
26%
32%
65 64 1 0
04 Feb. 2023
JAB
Jablonec
2 - 2
FC Zlín
ZLI
57%
25%
19%
65 72 7 0
29 Jan. 2023
ZLI
FC Zlín
1 - 1
Baník Ostrava
BAN
25%
27%
49%
65 77 12 0
07 Jan. 2023
ZLI
FC Zlín
2 - 2
Sigma Olomouc
SIG
28%
24%
48%
65 75 10 0

Matches

Sparta Praha
Sparta Praha
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2023
SPA
Sparta Praha
3 - 0
Jablonec
JAB
72%
18%
11%
83 72 11 0
12 Feb. 2023
BOH
Bohemians 1905
2 - 6
Sparta Praha
SPA
23%
25%
53%
83 75 8 0
05 Feb. 2023
SPA
Sparta Praha
4 - 1
Mladá Boleslav
MBO
67%
19%
14%
83 74 9 0
28 Jan. 2023
SIG
Sigma Olomouc
1 - 1
Sparta Praha
SPA
24%
25%
52%
83 75 8 0
21 Jan. 2023
SPA
Sparta Praha
3 - 1
Nürnberg
FCN
71%
17%
12%
83 72 11 0