Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 4-1
Zira FK vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zira FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
AZA
0 - 3
ZIR
25%
31%
44%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ZIR
3 - 0
FKN
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SUM
1 - 1
ZIR
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
ZIR
1 - 1
SHA
57%
26%
17%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FKQ
1 - 1
ZIR
66%
22%
12%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +4 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
DIF
6 - 2
VIC
69%
19%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
USM
0 - 3
DIF
19%
23%
58%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
DIF
6 - 2
KAE
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 1
DIF
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
DIF
2 - 0
RUM
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | +1 |