Zielona Góra vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.7%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
84.5%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.8%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.7%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.1%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zielona Góra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MLE
0 - 4
ZIE
22%
21%
57%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ZIE
1 - 1
TSP
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ZIE
0 - 0
KLU
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SGO
0 - 1
ZIE
18%
19%
63%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ZIE
1 - 0
STB
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 1
PLO
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
JAG
4 - 1
KOR
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GDA
2 - 2
JAG
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
JAG
4 - 0
STA
47%
25%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ZAL
1 - 1
JAG
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |