Zemun vs Polet Dorćol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zemun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
TEL
2 - 2
ZEM
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ZEM
2 - 0
TUR
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
BUD
1 - 2
ZEM
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ZEM
3 - 1
RAD
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 5
ZEM
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Polet Dorćol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
POL
1 - 0
SOP
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ZAR
1 - 0
POL
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
POL
0 - 0
BRO
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
POL
0 - 0
TEL
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TUR
1 - 1
POL
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |