Zemun vs Šumadija Jagnjilo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zemun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
ZEM
2 - 1
RAD
76%
17%
7%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TEL
1 - 1
ZEM
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
ZEM
2 - 0
PAD
76%
16%
7%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 0
ZEM
14%
24%
62%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SRE
0 - 1
ZEM
16%
24%
60%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Šumadija Jagnjilo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
SMJ
2 - 0
FKL
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SOP
2 - 3
SMJ
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SMJ
0 - 1
PAB
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
BEO
3 - 1
SMJ
38%
28%
34%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SMJ
2 - 0
DOR
55%
25%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |