Željeznicar vs FK Tuzla City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
11º
7º
27
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
POS
1 - 0
ZEL
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ZEL
2 - 0
BBL
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
ZEL
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
ZEL
2 - 2
FKN
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
DNM
1 - 2
ZEL
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 2
SAR
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 0
SLO
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
GOS
1 - 4
SLO
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ZBE
3 - 1
SLO
21%
21%
58%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 4
SIR
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |