UEFA Intertoto Cup . Last 16
Global 4-3
Zbrojovka Brno vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zbrojovka Brno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
THU
2 - 3
ZBR
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
KOT
3 - 2
ZBR
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
ZBR
1 - 0
KOT
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
JAB
4 - 1
ZBR
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
ZBR
5 - 0
ZLI
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
THU
2 - 3
ZBR
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 2
THU
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
THU
4 - 2
YOB
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
BAS
4 - 0
THU
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
THU
1 - 2
ZUR
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |