Zaragoza 2014 vs Hernán Cortés Junquera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
52.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaragoza 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
VAL
6 - 1
ZAR
11%
16%
73%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SJU
4 - 1
ZAR
23%
21%
56%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ZAR
0 - 0
ANE
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
ZAR
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ZAR
2 - 2
SFE
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés Junquera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
HCJ
7 - 1
SJU
70%
17%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
HCJ
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
HCJ
2 - 0
PER
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 5
HCJ
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
HCJ
6 - 2
GAN
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |