Zanaco vs Red Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zanaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
ZAN
43%
29%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
ZAN
2 - 1
ZES
56%
25%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
ZAN
0 - 0
NKA
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
ROA
0 - 3
ZAN
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
ZAN
2 - 0
KON
57%
24%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
RED
4 - 1
IND
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
RED
3 - 1
NKA
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
RED
47%
29%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
POW
1 - 0
RED
56%
25%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
RED
2 - 0
NCH
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |