Zamora FC vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ZUL
51%
24%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
ZUL
2 - 0
ZAM
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TRU
2 - 0
ZAM
25%
25%
51%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 2
ZAM
12%
18%
70%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ZAM
4 - 1
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
ZUL
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
TAC
2 - 3
EST
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
EST
1 - 2
DEP
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 2
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |