CAF Champions Last 16
Global 3-0
Zamalek vs Union Douala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamalek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
ZAM
36%
26%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 0
MOK
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +3 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
EEE
3 - 1
ZAM
26%
28%
46%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ALI
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ASW
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Union Douala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
ZAM
36%
26%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
RBA
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +5 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
NEW
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
NIM
85%
11%
4%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
PAN
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |