Zalla vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BFC
2 - 1
ZAL
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ZAL
1 - 1
BEA
46%
27%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ELG
0 - 0
ZAL
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ZAL
1 - 0
BAS
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
LAU
1 - 2
ZAL
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GER
1 - 0
HER
67%
20%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ZAR
1 - 5
GER
17%
24%
59%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GER
1 - 2
ZAM
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LEI
2 - 0
GER
38%
29%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
GER
1 - 0
EIB
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |