Q. Europa League Playoffs. Final
Global 3-4
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ZAL
3 - 1
LIE
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
LUD
1 - 0
ZAL
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 5
ZAL
21%
25%
55%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
ZAL
1 - 1
BOG
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 1
BAN
77%
17%
6%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 4
LUD
23%
24%
53%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
LUD
1 - 0
ZAL
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
DZG
4 - 2
LUD
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
LUD
1 - 2
DZG
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
LUD
5 - 0
SVA
77%
15%
7%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |