Zalgiris Vilnius vs Siauliai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
8º
6º
40
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
87.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 57 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
71% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 44 |
4º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 41 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
91.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 19 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 18 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2.5% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 77.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
DTE
1 - 1
ZAL
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ZAL
1 - 1
DAI
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 4
KZA
46%
23%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
KZA
3 - 0
ZAL
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 0
TRA
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
FAS
2 - 1
PAN
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
BAN
0 - 1
FAS
34%
24%
42%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
KZA
3 - 0
FAS
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
FAS
3 - 0
BAN
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
DAI
1 - 2
FAS
21%
25%
55%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |