Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 2-1
Zalgiris Vilnius vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
ZAL
1 - 1
KLA
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
KLA
1 - 2
ZAL
38%
23%
39%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
LIE
0 - 5
ZAL
13%
19%
68%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
SUD
0 - 1
ZAL
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
ZAL
2 - 0
FKP
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 3
FCV
14%
21%
66%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
LSO
3 - 2
FCV
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
FCV
1 - 0
LSO
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 2
FCV
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
FCL
0 - 0
FCV
53%
23%
25%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |