Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 2-6
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Admira Wacker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 0
ZAL
25%
28%
47%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
DAI
1 - 3
ZAL
21%
27%
51%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
FKT
0 - 2
ZAL
26%
28%
46%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
ZAL
0 - 1
VIL
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
ZAL
2 - 0
FAS
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Admira Wacker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 3
AWM
7%
15%
78%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
RBS
2 - 0
AWM
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
AWM
1 - 1
RIE
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
STR
0 - 3
AWM
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
AWM
3 - 2
AUS
41%
26%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |