Uefa Youth League Domestic Route Semi-finals
Global 2-11
Žalgiris Vilnius U19 vs Man. Utd U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
65.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Žalgiris Vilnius U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
TNS
0 - 4
ZAL
18%
18%
64%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ZAL
3 - 2
TNS
64%
18%
17%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
TRE
4 - 0
ZAL
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 1
TRE
7%
12%
81%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | +7 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
HAI
2 - 0
ZAL
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Man. Utd U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
MUD
0 - 2
BYM
35%
21%
44%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 0
MUD
62%
18%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
KOB
2 - 2
MUD
64%
19%
18%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
MUD
0 - 1
KOB
18%
18%
65%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
MUD
3 - 0
GAL
19%
19%
62%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +3 |