1. HNL round 21

NK Zagreb vs Lokomotiva analysis

NK Zagreb Lokomotiva
71 ELO 74
4.9% Tilt 3.7%
19090º General ELO ranking 632º
71º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.2%
NK Zagreb
25.2%
Draw
32.6%
Lokomotiva

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
NK Zagreb
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.6%
Win probability
Lokomotiva
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

NK Zagreb
Lokomotiva
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NK Zagreb
NK Zagreb
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2015
ZAG
NK Zagreb
1 - 0
NK Slaven Belupo
SLA
56%
24%
20%
72 68 4 0
15 Dec. 2014
ZAG
NK Zagreb
1 - 2
HNK Rijeka
RIJ
32%
26%
43%
71 78 7 +1
05 Dec. 2014
ZAG
NK Zagreb
1 - 0
NK Istra 1961
IST
53%
25%
22%
72 70 2 -1
29 Nov. 2014
HKS
HNK Hajduk Split
0 - 2
NK Zagreb
ZAG
63%
21%
15%
70 81 11 +2
23 Nov. 2014
SPL
Split
2 - 2
NK Zagreb
ZAG
53%
25%
22%
70 75 5 0

Matches

Lokomotiva
Lokomotiva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2015
RIJ
HNK Rijeka
4 - 1
Lokomotiva
LOK
59%
21%
21%
74 80 6 0
07 Feb. 2015
DZG
Dinamo Zagreb
2 - 1
Lokomotiva
LOK
59%
21%
19%
73 81 8 +1
13 Dec. 2014
OSI
NK Osijek
0 - 2
Lokomotiva
LOK
21%
24%
56%
74 60 14 -1
06 Dec. 2014
ZAD
Zadar
2 - 5
Lokomotiva
LOK
25%
24%
51%
73 61 12 +1
28 Nov. 2014
LOK
Lokomotiva
1 - 1
Split
SPL
52%
25%
23%
73 75 2 0