Zagorets vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
ROD
2 - 0
ZAG
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ZAG
2 - 0
FKH
36%
26%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
GIG
2 - 1
ZAG
12%
21%
68%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ZAG
7 - 0
BOR
88%
9%
3%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BSZ
0 - 3
ZAG
7%
16%
77%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
NES
9 - 2
DIM
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PLP
1 - 0
NES
23%
21%
56%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
NES
3 - 2
ASE
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SKM
2 - 1
NES
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NES
2 - 1
LEV
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |