Zagorets vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
SKM
1 - 2
ZAG
13%
21%
67%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
ZAG
1 - 0
IGO
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ZAG
3 - 0
HAS
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ROZ
3 - 2
ZAG
24%
24%
53%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
SOZ
1 - 0
ZAG
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 0
DOR
89%
8%
3%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 0
DIM
88%
8%
4%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
ROD
0 - 1
CHE
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 0
CHE
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 1
GIG
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |