Zacatepec vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
CAÑ
3 - 2
ATS
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
ALE
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAÑ
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CAÑ
4 - 2
CAF
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
CAZ
2 - 0
CAÑ
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
UDG
1 - 1
ALE
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAF
0 - 3
UDG
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
UDG
2 - 3
ATL
37%
28%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
UAT
2 - 1
UDG
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
UDG
2 - 3
CIM
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |