Clausura Ascenso MX round 6

Zacatepec vs Venados FC analysis

Zacatepec Venados FC
59 ELO 68
4.7% Tilt -0.6%
20317º General ELO ranking 1160º
141º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
32%
Zacatepec
28.2%
Draw
39.7%
Venados FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
Zacatepec
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
39.7%
Win probability
Venados FC
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Zacatepec
Venados FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zacatepec
Zacatepec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2014
EST
Tecos
3 - 1
Zacatepec
CAÑ
64%
22%
14%
59 70 11 0
26 Jan. 2014
CAÑ
Zacatepec
3 - 1
Atl. San Luis
AUR
31%
28%
42%
57 67 10 +2
18 Jan. 2014
NEC
Necaxa
2 - 1
Zacatepec
CAÑ
66%
22%
13%
58 73 15 -1
05 Jan. 2014
CAÑ
Zacatepec
1 - 2
Lobos BUAP
LOB
41%
28%
31%
58 63 5 0
10 Nov. 2013
CAÑ
Zacatepec
0 - 4
Cafetaleros
CAF
40%
27%
33%
59 64 5 -1

Matches

Venados FC
Venados FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2014
MER
Venados FC
1 - 0
Pumas UNAM
PUM
34%
28%
39%
69 79 10 0
02 Feb. 2014
MER
Venados FC
1 - 1
Lobos BUAP
LOB
55%
25%
20%
69 64 5 0
26 Jan. 2014
ALT
Altamira
0 - 0
Venados FC
MER
38%
28%
34%
69 63 6 0
23 Jan. 2014
ATL
Atlante FC
2 - 0
Venados FC
MER
54%
23%
23%
70 72 2 -1
19 Jan. 2014
MER
Venados FC
3 - 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
ALE
39%
29%
33%
70 74 4 0