Zacatepec vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
DOR
3 - 0
CAÑ
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
CAÑ
5 - 1
ACA
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
CAÑ
4 - 2
ORI
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
COB
0 - 1
CAÑ
49%
23%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
CAÑ
3 - 3
MEX
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
DUR
2 - 1
ALT
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
UAT
2 - 0
DUR
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
LOB
1 - 2
DUR
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
DUR
2 - 2
TAB
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
TIG
1 - 0
DUR
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |