Zacatepec vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CAÑ
3 - 1
MER
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
ATS
2 - 0
CAÑ
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
DOR
2 - 2
CAÑ
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CAÑ
2 - 1
UAT
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ALE
2 - 1
CAÑ
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
CIM
2 - 1
DOR
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
UAT
2 - 0
CIM
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CIM
0 - 0
ZAC
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CIM
2 - 1
MER
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 0
CIM
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |