Third Division Malta Round 12

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Zurrieq FC analysis

Zabbar St. Patrick Zurrieq FC
38 ELO 34
-14% Tilt -9.7%
2145º General ELO ranking 3810º
11º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
62.4%
Zabbar St. Patrick
20.7%
Draw
16.9%
Zurrieq FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
Zabbar St. Patrick
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.9%
Win probability
Zurrieq FC
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zabbar St. Patrick
+9%
+44%
Zurrieq FC

ELO progression

Zabbar St. Patrick
Zurrieq FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zabbar St. Patrick
Zabbar St. Patrick
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2019
MEL
Melita
2 - 0
Zabbar St. Patrick
ZAB
79%
15%
7%
40 54 14 0
29 Nov. 2019
PAT
Pembroke Athleta
6 - 0
Zabbar St. Patrick
ZAB
62%
22%
16%
42 51 9 -2
24 Nov. 2019
ZAB
Zabbar St. Patrick
0 - 1
San Gwann
SAN
17%
21%
62%
42 52 10 0
16 Nov. 2019
MAR
Marsa FC
3 - 1
Zabbar St. Patrick
ZAB
48%
24%
29%
44 40 4 -2
11 Nov. 2019
ZAB
Zabbar St. Patrick
1 - 0
Luqa St. Andrew's
LUQ
65%
19%
16%
42 34 8 +2

Matches

Zurrieq FC
Zurrieq FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 2019
ZUR
Zurrieq FC
1 - 1
Kalkara
KAL
18%
21%
61%
32 45 13 0
16 Nov. 2019
XGH
Xghajra Tornados
2 - 3
Zurrieq FC
ZUR
56%
20%
24%
30 28 2 +2
09 Nov. 2019
MEL
Melita
1 - 2
Zurrieq FC
ZUR
88%
9%
2%
28 55 27 +2
04 Nov. 2019
ZUR
Zurrieq FC
0 - 1
San Gwann
SAN
6%
14%
80%
28 51 23 0
26 Oct. 2019
ZUR
Zurrieq FC
0 - 2
Melita
MEL
10%
21%
69%
30 54 24 -2