Yverdon vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
7º
1º
57
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
STA
4 - 1
YVE
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
YVE
1 - 0
THU
36%
25%
38%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
YVE
1 - 0
LAU
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FCV
0 - 0
YVE
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
YVE
1 - 2
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 0
SCH
49%
24%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FCV
0 - 1
FCA
30%
24%
46%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 0
WIL
51%
23%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCA
14%
20%
66%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 2
NEX
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |