Ypiranga PE vs Vera Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
YPI
1 - 1
AME
40%
28%
33%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
PES
2 - 1
YPI
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
YPI
2 - 4
POR
32%
27%
41%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
YPI
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
YPI
0 - 2
PES
34%
27%
38%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
VCR
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
VCR
2 - 2
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PES
1 - 1
VCR
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
VCR
3 - 1
PES
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PER
2 - 0
VCR
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |