Copa do Brasil . 1/32
Global 4-3
Ypiranga FC vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
4 - 1
YPI
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
YPI
65%
22%
14%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
YPI
2 - 1
LAJ
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 1
YPI
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
YPI
2 - 1
AIM
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 2
APA
72%
19%
9%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 2
APA
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
APA
1 - 3
GAM
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
APA
0 - 1
CUI
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
APA
0 - 0
GOI
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |