Ypiranga AP vs SAO Raimundo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
ARO
1 - 2
YAP
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2019 |
YAP
1 - 1
MOT
8%
21%
71%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
MOT
5 - 1
YAP
84%
12%
4%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
YAP
1 - 1
ARO
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
REC
4 - 3
YAP
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SAO Raimundo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
REC
1 - 1
MOT
20%
24%
56%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
REC
3 - 0
ARO
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ARO
1 - 2
REC
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MOT
2 - 1
REC
82%
13%
5%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
REC
4 - 3
YAP
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |