York United vs Valour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
7º
4º
28
6º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Eliminated
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 1
YOR
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
HFX
2 - 1
YOR
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
YOR
0 - 0
FOR
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
YOR
1 - 2
CAV
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
YOR
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
ATO
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 2
VAL
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
VAN
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 34 | 31 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
HFX
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
YOR
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |