Yokogawa Musashino vs Reilac Shiga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
63%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
12º
16º
14º
40
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 58 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 57 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 52 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 51 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 50 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 46 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 39 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 37 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 31 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 28 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 28 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 25 |
16º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 47.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 27.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
72.5% | 25% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yokogawa Musashino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
VEK
0 - 1
YOK
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
YOK
2 - 3
TIA
13%
20%
68%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
VER
3 - 0
YOK
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
YOK
0 - 0
YSC
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CRS
3 - 1
YOK
57%
23%
21%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Reilac Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
MIO
1 - 1
URA
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
MIO
1 - 1
VEK
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
TIA
0 - 1
MIO
43%
25%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
MIO
1 - 0
VER
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
YSC
3 - 3
MIO
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |