Switzerland Fourth Division Round 4

YF Juventus vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis

YF Juventus Mendrisio-Stabio
40 ELO 38
23.5% Tilt 5.1%
4471º General ELO ranking 6375º
49º Country ELO ranking 84º
ELO win probability
58.6%
YF Juventus
20%
Draw
21.4%
Mendrisio-Stabio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
YF Juventus
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.4%
Win probability
Mendrisio-Stabio
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
YF Juventus
-8%
+18%
Mendrisio-Stabio

Points and table prediction

YF Juventus
Their league position
Mendrisio-Stabio
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
12º
47
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tuggen
56
56
100%
YF Juventus
55
55
100%
Kreuzlingen
50
50
100%
FC Wettswil-Bonstetten
48
48
100%
Winterthur II
47
47
100%
Mendrisio-Stabio
47
47
100%
Eschen/Mauren
44
44
100%
Grasshopper II
39
39
100%
Linth 04
39
39
100%
Hongg
10º
38
38
10º
100%
Taverne
11º
37
37
11º
100%
Kosova
12º
35
35
12º
0%
Freienbach
13º
35
35
13º
0%
Uzwil
14º
32
32
14º
100%
FC Balzers
15º
29
29
15º
100%
FC Gossau
16º
26
26
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
YF Juventus
Mendrisio-Stabio
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Possible next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

YF Juventus
Mendrisio-Stabio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

YF Juventus
YF Juventus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2023
YFJ
YF Juventus
2 - 1
FC Wettswil-Bonstetten
FCW
40%
26%
34%
38 44 6 0
12 Aug. 2023
TUG
Tuggen
1 - 1
YF Juventus
YFJ
75%
15%
10%
37 48 11 +1
05 Aug. 2023
YFJ
YF Juventus
3 - 4
Eschen/Mauren
ESC
56%
20%
25%
38 38 0 -1
04 Jul. 2023
YFJ
YF Juventus
2 - 1
Hongg
HON
44%
23%
33%
38 41 3 0
01 Jul. 2023
WIN
Winterthur
7 - 0
YF Juventus
YFJ
84%
11%
5%
38 67 29 0

Matches

Mendrisio-Stabio
Mendrisio-Stabio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2023
MEN
Mendrisio-Stabio
2 - 0
Tuggen
TUG
16%
21%
64%
37 48 11 0
19 Aug. 2023
MEN
Mendrisio-Stabio
1 - 3
SC Kriens
KRI
11%
17%
73%
38 52 14 -1
12 Aug. 2023
ESC
Eschen/Mauren
1 - 1
Mendrisio-Stabio
MEN
50%
23%
27%
38 38 0 0
06 Aug. 2023
MEN
Mendrisio-Stabio
2 - 0
Uzwil
UZW
52%
22%
26%
38 34 4 0
17 Jun. 2023
MEN
Mendrisio-Stabio
1 - 1
Perlen-Buchrain
PER
75%
16%
9%
38 25 13 0