YF Juventus vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
68.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
YF Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
YFJ
0 - 2
BAU
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
WIN
3 - 1
YFJ
67%
19%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 0
YFJ
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
FCV
4 - 0
YFJ
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
YFJ
1 - 1
YVE
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
LUG
3 - 0
BAD
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
BAU
2 - 0
LUG
12%
21%
68%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
LUG
0 - 0
KRI
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
LUG
3 - 0
WIN
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
MEY
1 - 3
LUG
13%
22%
66%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | +1 |