YF Juventus vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
75.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
YF Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
YFJ
2 - 1
FCK
30%
24%
46%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
TUG
1 - 0
YFJ
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
YFJ
0 - 1
ETO
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
FCZ
2 - 2
YFJ
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
YFJ
1 - 1
BRE
60%
20%
19%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 2
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 1
STG
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZUR
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
MTA
1 - 1
BAS
32%
23%
45%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 3
BAS
19%
21%
61%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |