Al Yarmouk vs Burgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
3º
1º
12
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
12 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Yarmouk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ALQ
2 - 1
YAR
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
YAR
2 - 1
ALT
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 1
YAR
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
YAR
2 - 2
ALS
87%
10%
4%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
ALS
4 - 1
YAR
47%
24%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Burgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
KAZ
1 - 0
BUR
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 2
ALS
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 1
BUR
72%
16%
11%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BUR
2 - 0
ALS
14%
17%
69%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
ALS
4 - 0
BUR
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |