Primera División Venezolana Temporada Regular. Jor. 6

Yaracuyanos vs Aragua FC analysis

Yaracuyanos Aragua FC
54 ELO 61
-11.9% Tilt 3.3%
2515º General ELO ranking 3180º
19º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
31.9%
Yaracuyanos
28.8%
Draw
39.3%
Aragua FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
Yaracuyanos
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
39.3%
Win probability
Aragua FC
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Yaracuyanos
-3%
-5%
Aragua FC

ELO progression

Yaracuyanos
Aragua FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Yaracuyanos
Yaracuyanos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2021
YAR
Yaracuyanos
1 - 2
Carabobo
CAR
42%
27%
31%
55 54 1 0
09 May. 2021
GVA
Gran Valencia
1 - 0
Yaracuyanos
YAR
28%
26%
46%
56 48 8 -1
02 May. 2021
YAR
Yaracuyanos
0 - 2
La Guaira
DEP
18%
27%
55%
56 72 16 0
18 Apr. 2021
LAR
Deportivo Lara
1 - 2
Yaracuyanos
YAR
67%
21%
12%
55 73 18 +1
12 Dec. 2020
LAR
Deportivo Lara
3 - 0
Yaracuyanos
YAR
67%
21%
12%
56 72 16 -1

Matches

Aragua FC
Aragua FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 May. 2021
ARA
Aragua FC
2 - 6
Grêmio
GRE
9%
24%
67%
61 86 25 0
16 May. 2021
ARA
Aragua FC
0 - 0
Puerto Cabello
APC
31%
29%
40%
61 64 3 0
14 May. 2021
ARA
Aragua FC
1 - 2
La Equidad
EQU
19%
26%
55%
61 76 15 0
07 May. 2021
GRE
Grêmio
8 - 0
Aragua FC
ARA
82%
13%
5%
62 86 24 -1
03 May. 2021
LAR
Deportivo Lara
4 - 1
Aragua FC
ARA
61%
24%
15%
63 71 8 -1
X